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衛星賽基本

热度 1已有 1470 次阅读2010-7-16 15:31

(lamma888.blogspot.com 2009-2-25 文章)

簡單的計算。

現在只剩 4 個人,頭 3 位可以得到入場劵,大家籌碼差不多,基本計算你有 75% 機會得到入場劵,現在有人 all in 而你在 bb,你在這手必須要75%勝率才可以跟,就是 KK 都很勉強,奇怪的是常常見到有人跟那些 50/50 的牌,於是你可以不用做什麼便贏了。

舉一個實戰例子吧!

Poker Stars $2.00+$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t625/t1250 Blinds + t150 - 4 players - View hand 48024
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

Hero (BTN): t78397 M = 31.68
sari66 (SB): t8951 M = 3.62
berenyo (BB): t32957 M = 13.32
Beuber (CO): t89981 M = 36.36

Pre Flop: (t2475) Hero is BTN with 6 6
1 fold, Hero raises to t3750, 1 fold, berenyo calls t2500

Flop: (t8725) 6 A 9 (2 players)
berenyo checks, Hero bets t5000, berenyo raises to t29057 all in, Hero calls t24057

Turn: (t66839) 5 (2 players - 1 is all in)

River: (t66839) T (2 players - 1 is all in)

Final Pot: t66839
Hero shows 6 6 (three of a kind, Sixes)
berenyo shows 9 T(two pair, Tens and Nines)
Hero wins t66839

對手是疯狂的,當時的情況是8進7,這張桌和另一張桌兩個只有10000的玩家都 已經失踪了,我其實可以不打也能拿入場劵,但我打的話只要避免與 Beuber 硬碰便不會有問題,即使輸給了 berenyo 我後面不打牌便行,相反 berenyo 如果打牌將冒出局的風險,如果他不打牌等其中一個少籌碼出局他已經是 100% 贏了,但是對手竟然打牌,還用中對推我,我心想我都已經拿 set 了,你如果這樣打我就成全你出局好了。

Poker Stars $10+$1 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t1500/t3000 Blinds + t300 - 8 players - View hand 48028
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

Hero (UTG+1): t7045 M = 1.02
CASTLEMILK (MP1): t4090 M = 0.59
sawyer2591 (MP2): t8410 M = 1.22
tignas62 (CO): t78242 M = 11.34
firefox18 (BTN): t24710 M = 3.58
BentzahAA (SB): t6655 M = 0.96
Turboman10r (BB): t30129 M = 4.37
1keeper1 (UTG): t20219 M = 2.93

Pre Flop: (t6900) Hero is UTG+1 with Q A
1 fold, Hero raises to t6745 all in, CASTLEMILK calls t3790 all in, sawyer2591 calls t6745, 3 folds, Turboman10r calls t3745

Flop: (t27925) 9 3 4 (4 players - 2 are all in)
Turboman10r checks, sawyer2591 bets t1365 all in, Turboman10r folds

Turn: (t27925) 2 (3 players - 3 are all in)

River: (t27925) 6 (3 players - 3 are all in)

Final Pot: t27925
Hero shows Q A (high card Ace)
CASTLEMILK shows A J (high card Ace)
sawyer2591 shows K K (a pair of Kings)
sawyer2591 wins t8865
sawyer2591 wins t19060

現在的情況出局者將在我和 Castlemilk 之間產生,如果我和 Castlemilk 一直不打至我們在 SB vs BB 時硬碰,誰勝誰負很難說(留意我在 BB 時將先扣 3000,所以到了 SB 時我和他的籌碼基本上差不多,誰輸了便會出局,這樣我是 50% 機會出局)這是我拿到一手還不錯的牌,我認為就算有人跟我機會還是不錯的,所以我推了,Castlemilk 可能心想也是時候和我決生死了,所以他也跟了,結果後面再跟個 KK,我和 Castlemilk 同時出局但我籌碼較多還是拿到入場劵。

至 於 sawyer2591 是否應該跟 KK 呢?問題是如果 Castlemilk 拿主彩池、 我拿副彩池,他便極可能會出局,假設我和 Castlemilk 在這裡都是推 10% 的牌,KK贏其中一個將是 73%,出現「Castlemilk 拿主彩池、我拿副彩池」的機會便是 3.5%,加上他輸了這手還有可能翻身,我想跟也可以吧,但是如果 Castlemilk 並沒有跟,你認為 sawyer2591 是否應該跟 KK?

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