|
本帖最后由 skizzik 于 2009-8-29 02:21 编辑
BB: $50 (100 bb)
UTG: $54.85 (109.7 bb)
MP: $21.25 (42.5 bb)
Hero (CO): $76.60 (153.2 bb)
BTN: $71.20 (142.4 bb)
SB: $45.15 (90.3 bb)
Pre-FLOP: Hero is CO with K K
UTG folds, MP CALLs $0.50, Hero raises to $2, BTN calls $2, 2 folds, MP calls $1.50
Flop: ($6.75) J 9 7 (3 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $5.50, BTN calls $5.50, MP calls $5.50
Turn: ($23.25) T (3 players)
MP checks, Hero checks, BTN bets $14, MP calls $13.75 and is all-in, Hero folds
River: ($50.75) 2 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
这手牌,两个对手里
BTN是个好手,22/16 2.8 我有他10K手数据,他也开着很多桌。刚被我暗三9杀了他AQ顶对A一个大pot,也许对我不太服气。他3bet 5%,vs PFR fold to CB 62%,raise CB 11%,donk bet 7%
MP则是个大意的新人,44/0 0.4,只有28手。基本上要被我划入千里送钱的好人的行列。一个外国人,毫无利己的动机,把中国人的赚钱大业当成自己的事业,兢兢业业不辞辛劳的拿钱陪我们玩,这是一种什么精神?
回到这手牌本身
翻牌其实就有点危险,7以上的中等对子都在BTN call 4BB的range里,他和我的打法差不多,很少call别人的raise,AJ KQ要是不敢3bet那都直接丢的。而MP的牌则比较广泛,先limp in然后再次跟平4注,他raise是0,就算AA搞不好都是这么打的,但是那只是range里极小的一部分。
翻牌TJ 9T 78等等全都能形成出路极其丰富的darw,而且这里还有黑桃同花draw。所以flop我上调了我的bet size,一般我只打2/3 pot到3/4 pot,而这里我打了9/10个pot。但是还是有两个牌手跟上了
这里我们喜的是MP是肯定没有暗三或者两对了,BTN是一个好手自然也不会在出路这么丰富的牌面上慢打set或2pair,所以我在flop上还算领先的
转牌很糟糕,非常糟糕。我觉得最糟糕的是8,因为TJ更容易跟上flop那一个pot,但是这个10同样让TJ超过了我。
这时候我并不想持续下注。虽然有些牌手会考虑在这里持续下注以便给flush draw之类的对手“不合适的听牌比例”,但是其实这事儿是必须在我们还能确定自己是better的情况下才能干的。在这个节点上,我们考虑的更多的应该是彩池控制
这时候BTN不愿意过牌,他下注28BB,并且MP同意了与他全下。有些人在这里会考虑pot odds,觉得KK再惨也还有3成胜算吧?难道不能跟吗?
事实上由于后面还有第五条街,14块在没有位置的情况下基本上是看不到对手底牌的。所以这里我的line是check/fold
同时我把这个帖子英文写在了2+2上,大部分意见和我差不多,有一位达人的回复我觉得大家有必要看一下,我并不觉得他很对,但是这是一种需要考虑的思路,考虑过他说这些了,才算考虑好这手牌了:
I think you could barely squeak by EV wise with a $14 b/f on the turn but it would be difficult to quanity 3-way with that turn card so c/f (0 EV) isn't terrible. If the TAG raises the turn (which I would only expect him to do with a limited range of value hands KQss, JT, TT, 98s) than its a fold despite whatever the fish does.
QJ+ and spade draws are definitely still in villain's ranges. The TAG's range prOBably includes stuff like AQss, ATss, KQss, AJ, JTs-87s, TT; he is unlikely to have a set since he'd raise a wet 3-way flop for value/protection and could probably peel a reasonable wide range. The fish could have all manner of hands QJ+, JT-87, 77-JJ, KQ, QT, KT, T8, Q9, J9, etc since his range is going to be pretty wide given the preflop action.
Board: Js 9d 7s Th
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 24.519% 22.01% 02.51% 36803 4194.00 { KdKh }
Hand 1: 34.331% 29.86% 04.47% 49925 7476.50 { TT, AsQs, AJs, AsTs, KsQs, JTs, T9s, 98s, 87s, AJo }
Hand 2: 41.150% 36.31% 04.84% 60714 8089.50 { JJ-77, AJs-A9s, KTs+, QTs+, **s+, T8s+, 98s, 87s, AJo-A9o, KTo+, QTo+, **o+, T8o+, 98o, 87o }
——by getaswi
|
|